Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
PolitikOne-OffWahlGeopolitik19JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 52.6%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet30. Sept. 23, 01:20 UTC31. Dez. 45, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Commissioning is the formal entry into service of a ship, not the act of ordering its construction.
- Resolves YES if the US commissions a sixth Ford-class carrier.
- Resolves NO if the US formally commits not to construct and commission a sixth Ford-class carrier AND a US presidential election has taken place subsequent to that decision AND the decision is not reversed by the winner of that election (three months after swearing in)
- The NO criteria seem a bit over the top, but apart from applying 'by X year' instead, which I don't want to do, they may be the best choice.
