Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 83%
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11
Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Stunden
Veraltet28. Apr. 23, 13:55 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to yes if the US establishes by 2028 a policy requiring certain kinds of AI incident reporting, similar to requirements in aviation or data breach reporting.
- The policy may allow for many incidents to be kept confidential within a regulatory body.
- The goal is to enable regulators to track specific types of harms and near-misses from AI systems, allowing them to identify dangers and quickly develop mitigation strategies.
- Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
