Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97.4%
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet20. Jan. 26, 19:50 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?
Manifold Markets2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Kalshi[Kalshi] Nobel Peace Prize winner
Manifold Markets🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?
PolymarketRegeln
Parent market: https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-trump-wins-the-nobel-peace-pri
- For this market to resolve YES, the parent market must reach 10% or higher at any point after January 19th and before it resolves.
- If the parent market resolves at 10% or higher, that also counts.
- Otherwise, this market resolves NO.