Will the trump administration do large-scale enforcement against grey/black-market feminizing HRT?
One-OffGesundheit & MedizinUS-PolitikKriminalität & Justiz2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 69.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Veraltet21. Jan. 25, 17:23 UTC29. Jan. 29, 06:59 UTC
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might be resolved based partially on vibes / second-hand information, might resolve early (if it happens)
- Update 2025-01-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria:
- YES will be resolved if:
- 3 reports of American homebrewers being arrested (considered yes on 1-2 reports depending on other information and the number of American homebrewers).
- Significant actions making it harder or riskier to obtain HRT from international sources, such as a large fraction of packages seized or a significant number of arrests (>10) of people ordering from them.
- A significant number of federal arrests for possession without a prescription (>10).
