Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 59.8%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet8. März 25, 16:37 UTC1. Jan. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the #1 ranked model on the LiveBench leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/) as of January 1st, 2028, is developed primarily by a Chinese company or research institution.
- Specifically:
- The model must be ranked #1 on the main LiveBench leaderboard on January 1st, 2028
- The model must be primarily developed by a company headquartered in China or a Chinese research institution
- Models developed by multinational companies will be considered "Chinese" only if the primary development team are based in China
