Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 55.5%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet1. Mai 25, 12:46 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
PolymarketWill any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?
KalshiWill any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
KalshiIf Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling that explicitly limits or overturns the application of the "disparate impact" doctrine in any area of law.
- The ruling must be final and not subject to further appeal.
- If no such ruling is issued by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- The "disparate impact" doctrine addresses policies that, while neutral on their face, disproportionately affect individuals belonging to protected classes, such as race, color, national origin, religion, sex, familial status, or disability.
- This legal theory has been recognized in various contexts, including employment and housing discrimination.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 56% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026? entschieden?
- Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria: