Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.2%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet1. Nov. 26, 01:57 UTC30. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Crude Oil all time high by which date?
PolymarketEthereum all time high by which date?
PolymarketBitcoin all time high by which date?
PolymarketSolana all time high by which date?
PolymarketWill Bitcoin's AUD price hit a new all-time high before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Bitcoin go below $30,000 before reaching a new all time high?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Nov 30 2026, is within 1% of its all-time high.
- If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.".
- If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
- AH trading cannot and will not be counted, it does not have anything to do with final close
- Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
