PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNein 84%+0.0pt
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
178,6 €
Liquidität
5839,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
7. Nov. 25, 21:2031. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes16%
Plattformen vergleichen· No
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 83% | +66pt | 1671 € | 51.000,7 € | vor 19 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| PolymarketDiese Seite | Mittel | 84% | +67pt | 178,6 € | 5839,8 € | vor 19 Minuten | |
 Futuur95% Übereinstimmung · auto | Niedrig | 83% | +66pt | 0 € | 910,5 € | vor 19 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Futuur
NYSE circuit breaker in 2026?
5Mon
83%
17%
33 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen21,2 €
24h-Volumen0 €
FUTUURAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
0.1 pts5Mon
83%
-0.1pt17%
72 • Mittlere QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen140.540,9 €
24h-Volumen1671 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2032. Juli26T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Largest Company end of December 2026?
91.058,6 €NVIDIA: 51%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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What will PayPal say during their next earnings call?
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What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in July 2026?
21.063,4 €↑ $750: 100%POLYMARKET
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What will Boeing say during their next earnings call?
17.557,7 €China: 80%KALSHI
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What will Ford say during their next earnings call?
15.454,4 €Geely: 38%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.