Will the south korean fertility rate increase in 2026?
One-OffGesellschaft & KulturGesundheit & MedizinMakro & Wirtschaft2MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 88.4%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert27. Dez. 25, 16:57 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?
Manifold MarketsWill the crossover point between South Korean and Israeli births happen this decade?
Manifold MarketsUS Dollar / South Korean Won (USD/KRW) Up or Down on October 26?
PolymarketWill the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsWill South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if South Korea's total fertility rate (children per woman) increases in 2026 compared to 2025.
- Resolution will be based on official data from Statistics Korea, published in early 2027.
- The fertility rate is measured as the average number of children a woman is expected to have over her lifetime based on age-specific birth rates for that calendar year.
- South Korea's fertility rate rose to 0.75 children per woman in 2024 from 0.72 in 2023, after eight consecutive years of decline from 1.24 in 2015.
- The rate reached 0.82 in the first quarter of 2025, up from 0.77 the year before, and rose to 0.85 in September 2025.