Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?
One-OffUS PoliticsRegulierung2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 84%
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18. Aug. 24, 14:06 UTC2. Dez. 28, 06:59 UTC
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I will resolve to yes if I conclude that the child tax credit, as signed into law, will give 5,000$ per child to the majority of parents.
- If a minority of parents will not be eligible to receive the full amount, such as because the benefit is not fully refundable or because it's not available to those with too high an income, I will still resolve to yes.
- But if there are enough eligibility restrictions that the I conclude that majority of parents will not be eligible to receive the full amount, I will resolve no.
- I will resolve yes if the measure is signed into law, even if it doesn't go into effect before Nov 7 2028, and even if it is later blocked by the courts.
- I will not bet in this market.
- [ETA: if it's more than 5,000, I will still resolve yes.]
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 84% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028? entschieden?
- Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028? soll am 2. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I will resolve to yes if I conclude that the child tax credit, as signed into law, will give 5,000$ per child to the majority of parents.