Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 91%
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16
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet23. März 26, 11:51 UTC24. Apr. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Manifold MarketsMarine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.
Manifold MarketsWill the next president of France be the result of the 2027 planned elections?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held in April 2027, with a second round two weeks later if no candidate secures a majority vote.
- The market resolves YES if the winner of the 2027 French presidential election is a member of the Parti Socialiste (PS).
- Resolution will be based on official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
- Relations between France Insoumise and the Parti Socialiste are at rock bottom, with PS First Secretary Olivier Faure stating there will be no national pact with France Insoumise in the 2027 presidential elections.
- Several leftist groups have announced a primary in October 2026 to pick a united left candidate under the banner 'Front Populaire', with representatives from the Parti Socialiste, the Greens, and the Communists participating.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? entschieden?
- Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? soll am 24. April 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria