Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 66.3%
Prognostiker
85
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet20. Juni 23, 20:10 UTC5. Jan. 27, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Elon Musk apologize for Grok being too left wing or 'woke' in the second half of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any american left-wing pro democracy and pro science organizations be shut down before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhich new Senators will vote as left wing as Elizabeth Warren in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will democrats have a major presidential candidate from the centrist wing of the party?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
Resolve yes if the next president of France be from a left-wing party.
- Resolve N/A if there is a general disagreement about him/her being left-wing or not.
- Resolve no otherwise.
- Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a candidate wins whose left-wing status is disputed (e.g. PS), and bettors disagree on the resolution, the market will resolve N/A.
