Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next president die while in office??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 30. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will the next president die while in office? entschieden?

Will the next president die while in office? soll am 2. Februar 2029 entschieden werden.

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 85%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten

2. Aug. 23, 05:44 UTC2. Feb. 29, 07:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

For the purpose of this market "next president" is the president elected in 2024 (and thus could be President Biden).

Market is not impacted if Biden dies before starting his second term - the relevant president would be the person who starts that term.
Resolves to no if the next president resigns or is removed, even if they then die before their term would have ended.