Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.4%
Prognostiker
35
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Minuten
21. Dez. 25, 03:36 UTC31. Dez. 38, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next Non Republican president abolish ICE?
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KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if the next president to take office who is not a Republican formally abolishes the U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agency through legislation or executive action.
- Abolition means the agency ceases to exist as a distinct entity, with its functions either eliminated or transferred to other agencies.
- The market resolves NO if such a president takes office and does not abolish ICE during their term(s).
- A Term is for the person who wins and their successor if they leave the office early.
- For example if someone is elected in 2028 and leaves in 2030 but ice is abolished in 2031, it would still resolve yes, as that person who succeeded them is considered as finishing the term (jan 2029-jan 2033) for this Market.