Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 09:52 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 72.2%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet26. Aug. 25, 20:22 UTC31. Dez. 50, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Union still exist as a meaningful political entity in the year 2075?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States exist as a stable, independent democracy by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?
FutuurNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
This market predicts whether the European Union will still exist as a political and economic union of member states with shared sovereignty in key policy areas by December 31, 2050.
- For this market to resolve YES, the EU must:
- Have at least 20 member states
- Maintain a single market with free movement of goods, services, capital, and people among member states
- Have common institutions including the European Commission, European Parliament, and European Council
- Have a common currency (Euro) used by a majority of member states
