Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 58.7%
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet15. Jan. 24, 18:51 UTC22. Feb. 29, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExSwedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.
- [Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028
- Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.
- Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 114,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 185,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- What will Trump say during his bilateral with the Taoiseach of Ireland?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 59% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? entschieden?
- Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? soll am 22. Februar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.