Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 58.7%
Prognostiker
116
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet15. Jan. 24, 18:51 UTC22. Feb. 29, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWill the democratic party win the 2032 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsMongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
KalshiWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.
- [Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028
- Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.
- Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.
