Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 66.9%
Prognostiker
3
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
6. März 25, 10:37 UTC1. Jan. 00, 22:59 UTC
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This market focuses on the extinction risk of the Beijing Loach, a newly discovered species, that is not evaluated by the IUCN yet.
- Extinction is defined as the death of the last individual, including wild and captive animals.
- The market will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier.
- It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the population is extinct.
- The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the Beijing Loach persists.
- For more information about the species, see:
