Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahlChessSport2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 57.1%
Prognostiker
12
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet22. Juli 25, 11:40 UTC25. Sept. 28, 11:37 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
Manifold MarketsWill One Nation win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election in Australia?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next leader of the Australian Labor Party?
Manifold MarketsWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
PolymarketWill the Republican Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRegeln
The next federal election to elect the 49th Parliament of Australia must occur before the 23rd of September, 2028.
- If the ALP gets a majority of seats in the lower house, the House of Representatives, this market will resolve YES.
- Otherwise NO.
- To be clear, because they have to win a majority of seats for this market to resolve to YES, even if they form a minority government (e.g. as they did in 2010) with the help of crossbenchers declaring support on confidence and supply, this market will still resolve to NO.
