Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 15:52 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 88%
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet3. Okt. 25, 14:24 UTC8. Nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the 2028 US Presidential Election occur as scheduled?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWill Israel election happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWill Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?
Manifold MarketsLA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
PolymarketWill The Chocolate Experience at Cadbury Tasmania open in late 2027 as scheduled?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election takes place on its official date of November 7, 2028.
- Early or mail-in voting before that date does not affect resolution.
- Minor local delays (e.g., weather or logistical issues) do not count as postponement if the national Election Day proceeds as scheduled.
- Resolves NO if the election is postponed, canceled, or moved to a different date.
- Resolution will be based on announcements from official U.S. election authorities and confirmation by major media outlets.
