Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 63.4%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet25. Aug. 26, 05:12 UTC7. Nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf nominated, which Democratic candidate will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic candidate lose any state Kamala Harris won?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves yes if the associated press says the Democratic candidate wins Pennsylvania in the 2028 presidential election
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the 2028 Democratic Candidate for President win Pennsylvania??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 63% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the 2028 Democratic Candidate for President win Pennsylvania? entschieden?
- Will the 2028 Democratic Candidate for President win Pennsylvania? soll am 7. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the 2028 Democratic Candidate for President win Pennsylvania? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves yes if the associated press says the Democratic candidate wins Pennsylvania in the 2028 presidential election