Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?
TechnikOne-Off11MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 97.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
6. Aug. 26, 04:12 UTC6. Aug. 27, 00:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria: this market resolves YES if, by August 1, 2027 (the RESOLUTION_DEADLINE), Tesla is providing public robotaxi rides with no human safety monitor or driver present in the vehicle, in at least 3 distinct U.S. metropolitan areas other than Austin, TX (Austin already qualifies as of market creation, since Tesla operates unsupervised rides there).
- Requirements for a city to count: 1.
- Rides must have zero human safety monitor or driver physically present in the vehicle (a city where rides still require an in-car human monitor, such as the San Francisco Bay Area under current California law, does not count). 2.
- Service must be generally available to public riders, not an employee-only or invite-only internal pilot. 3.
- Confirmed via both Tesla official sources (earnings call, investor letter, or the Tesla robotaxi app city list) and independent reporting (for example Electrek, Teslarati, Reuters, or similar trade press).
- This market resolves NO if, as of August 1, 2027, fewer than 3 additional metro areas (beyond Austin) meet all three requirements above, including if expansion remains limited to supervised or monitored rides in those cities.
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- $78,400 or above99%
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- 1,1 Mio. €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027? entschieden?
- Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027? soll am 6. August 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria: this market resolves YES if, by August 1, 2027 (the RESOLUTION_DEADLINE), Tesla is providing public robotaxi rides with no human safety monitor or driver present in the vehicle, in at least 3 distinct U.S. metropolitan areas other than Austin, TX (Austin already qualifies as of market creation, since Tesla operates unsupervised rides there).