Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJanuary 100%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
176
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-4.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 46 Minuten
Verzogert2. Jan. 26, 18:29 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be in the next batch of "Stanford celebrity" caricatures at CoHo after Ochoa / Plunkett / Wolf?
Manifold MarketsChina provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress pass a resolution rejecting the U.S.–Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsWill the US launch a Manhattan Project / Apollo Program for AI safety by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsConservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
PolymarketWill UEFA find FC Barcelona guilty in the Negreira case by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.
- This is determined based on the following method:
- On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
- Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
- Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
- Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].
