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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]
Manifold Markets

Will something CRAZY happen? [Monthly Market]

PolitikTechnikGeopolitikSport6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
January 100%
Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker

143

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

2. Jan. 26, 18:2931. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

May3%

Regeln

For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.

Manifold Markets
  • This is determined based on the following method:
  • On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
  • Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
  • Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
  • Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].

Verwandte Märkte

Manifold Markets

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

915,8 €
Ja: 13.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

Will any of the below AI companies be nationalized, according to the definition in the description?

87,2 €
Any frontier AI company, "soft nationalization": 78.6%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

69,4 €
Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 86.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

5,8 €
United States: 61%KalshiKALSHI
Will the US acquire any new territory?

Will the US acquire any new territory?

0,3 €
Before Jan 2027: 6%KalshiKALSHI
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

129.284,3 €
United Russia (ER): 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

SolanaSOL$68.16-4.33%BitcoinBTC$62,425.95-2.45%EthereumETH$1,687.57-3.10%DogecoinDOGE$0.0822-3.09%BNBBNB$571.73-2.95%XRPXRP$1.12-4.08%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Iran threatens Hormuz shutdown as Israel strikes put U.S. deal at riskCrypto NewsChina vows countermeasures over Taiwan tip site as Polymarket invasion odds slipBlockchain.NewsTrump Iran MOU heads to Congress as Polymarket invasion odds tick up to 12.5%Blockchain.NewsTrump rebukes Israel at G7 as Polymarket cuts Switzerland to 74.6%Blockchain.NewsHormuz reopens after U.S.-Iran deal as Polymarket puts Mbappe at 15.5%Blockchain.NewsIran signs MoU to end war as Polymarket puts Trump oil relief at 92%Blockchain.News

Regeln

For each month, the option resolves YES if, during that month, there is a Google search term which spikes like crazy.

Manifold Markets
  • This is determined based on the following method:
  • On Google Trends, pick "Worldwide" and "Web Search".
  • Pick a search term that you want to check for craziness.
  • Pick "google" as the search term to compare to.
  • Look at the end-of-day scores for "google" and [term].