Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030?
One-OffHealth & Medicine4J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 80.7%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet25. Apr. 23, 19:54 UTC3. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the life expectancy for American Cystic Fibrosis Patients in 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial blood be considered safe and effective for patients in Japan by the end of 2026?
FutuurHow many patients will be treated under right-to-try in Montana within 2026?
FutuurEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
The "major companies" refers specifically to Alcor, Cryonics Institute, and Tomorrow Bio.
- Some combination would mean if that, say, Alcor accidentally thawed one and Tomorrow Bio accidentally thawed one, that would satisfy the "at least two" criterion.
- Resolves a year and a day after 2030.
Offene Märkte
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 15,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 18.288,2 €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5178,9 €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 916.002,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1515,1 €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 863.640,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1039 €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 81% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030? entschieden?
- Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030? soll am 3. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The "major companies" refers specifically to Alcor, Cryonics Institute, and Tomorrow Bio.