Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 56.9%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 14:23 UTC31. Okt. 26, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill China rhenium imports exceed 20 thousand kg in the year ending December 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
