Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 56.9%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 47 Minuten
Verzogert8. Apr. 26, 14:23 UTC31. Okt. 26, 04:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 200 USD/kg on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 100 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026
KalshiWill hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market resolves YES if Sm metal (Western) spot price exceeds 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026.
- What is being measured: Samarium metal (Sm, 99%+ purity) spot price in the Western market (ex-China Western assessment), USD/kg, on or nearest to October 31, 2026.
- YES if: Western Sm metal spot price >= 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026 NO if: Western Sm metal spot price < 50 USD/kg on October 31, 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- Argus REE samarium metal — Western assessment
- Asian Metal — samarium metal Western or ex-China prices
