Will President Trump be in office after November 3, 2027 (one year after the mid-term election)?
PolitikOne-OffUnterhaltungMusicUS PoliticsWahl1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 16.07.2026, 15:30 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseIn Office 82.9%+56.2%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Tagen
Veraltet15. Juli 26, 14:194. Nov. 27, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
In Office83%
Volumentrend
$17215. Juli2T Daten16. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
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KALSHI
KALSHI
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POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican VP nominee
678,8 €Ron DeSantis: 3%KALSHI
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official status of Donald Trump on November 4, 2027, at 12:00 AM Eastern Time (ET).
- Exactly one of the following options will resolve YES, and all other options will resolve NO:
- In Office: Donald Trump is the sitting President of the United States.
- Out of Office due to death: Donald Trump is no longer in office, and his departure was caused by his death.
- Out of Office due to removal: Donald Trump is no longer in office, and his departure was due to conviction following impeachment by the Senate or permanent removal via Section 4 of the 25th Amendment.