Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 74.7%
Prognostiker
177
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert3. Okt. 23, 03:22 UTC1. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will prediction markets become extinct before 2100?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if at least one prediction market platform has more than 1 million daily active users by 2028.
- Also resolves YES if an online sports betting platform has those engagement numbers AND has a substainstial component that is about politics, science, and other real-world events.
- So for example, I don't think that Betfair currently counts but it might in the future.