Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85.8%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet21. Okt. 26, 11:53 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by which date?
PolymarketDid OpenAI "independently discover" php2shell by scanning chats of security researchers?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the impacts of php2shell in next 6 months
Manifold MarketsWill there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause an existential catastrophe (Bostrom or Ord definition) which doesn't result in human extinction?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if there is credible legacy media reporting that CVE-2026-109618 / CVE-2026-109619 AKA 'php2shell' abuse leads to the death of at least two people.
- Examples: A hospital is hacked and life support systems are shut down.
- Industrial equipment is breached, causing an explosion that kills workers
- Weapons system breached, leading to a munitions explosion causing loss of life.
- Basically, if a legacy media org reports this exploit causes two people to die, this market resolves YES.