Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 58.1%
Prognostiker
27
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet26. März 24, 06:15 UTC2. Jan. 40, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will cheap, portable, general purpose non-invasive brain-computer interfaces be commercially available by the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy 2040, will at least 100,000 people in the United States have implanted brain-computer interfaces (BCIs).
Manifold MarketsWill we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsWill we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if at least 20% of the global population wears a device that reads and interprets brain waves for at least one hour per day.
- Resolves No otherwise.
