Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 61.9% (Stand: 30. Oktober 2026).

Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir?

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Ja 61.9%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde

Verzogert

22. Juni 26, 04:25 UTC1. Feb. 31, 05:12 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

Resolves based on length of tenure according to wikipedia or in case not recorded there, significant publications of record or authoritative media.

From being instilled by the crown to resignation to the crown.
Market closure date will be adjusted to ensure stays open in normal circumstances to successor submitting resignation to crown.