Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 61.9%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet22. Juni 26, 04:25 UTC1. Feb. 31, 05:12 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next UK prime minister tenure? (After Keir Starmer)
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsIf Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
KalshiMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves based on length of tenure according to wikipedia or in case not recorded there, significant publications of record or authoritative media.
- From being instilled by the crown to resignation to the crown.
- Market closure date will be adjusted to ensure stays open in normal circumstances to successor submitting resignation to crown.
