Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 97.3%
Prognostiker
93
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet6. Jan. 25, 16:28 UTC1. Jan. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be reelected PM in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
KalshiNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Labour's official website list Keir Starmer as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election? entschieden?
- Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if Wikipedia and/or Labour's official website list Keir Starmer as party leader on polling day of the next UK general election after July 2024.