Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 52.9%
Prognostiker
46
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
7. Juli 24, 01:41 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Republican presidential candidate win any state Kamala Harris won in 2024?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris run for California Governor?
KalshiWill Kamala Harris win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWhen will Kamala Harris announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiRegeln
Must be as the presidential candidate, not vice president to another person
- Must be a serious campaign as by my judgement
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 53% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary? entschieden?
- Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary? soll am 1. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Kamala Harris run in the 2028 election primary? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Must be as the presidential candidate, not vice president to another person