Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 70.7%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet5. Sept. 26, 00:07 UTC3. Jan. 29, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Pennsylvania Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketWill John Fetterman endorse a Republican before election day?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if John Fetterman formally resigns from his seat in the United States Senate at any point before his current term ends on January 3, 2029.
- The market will resolve to NO if:
- He completes his current Senate term without resigning.
- He leaves office before the end of his term due to death, permanent incapacitation, or expulsion by the Senate, without having submitted a formal resignation.
- A public announcement of a future resignation date will trigger a YES resolution as long as the effective date of the resignation is set to occur before January 3, 2029.