Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.9%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
21. Mai 25, 18:50 UTC16. Sept. 26, 18:44 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?
Manifold MarketsHow many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description)
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio (to fill JD Vance's seat)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if by a year after the current release date (Sep 16, 2026), JD Vance has mentioned reading (even part of) the new book "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies."
- Also resolves YES if some event occurs that strongly implies that he has read it (he has a meeting with the author, or a copy of the book is photographed on his desk with a bookmark, or Usha Vance says he has read it, or whatever).
- That is to say, it doesn't have to be an official declaration from his mouth.
- This market inspired by his recent remarks in an interview with the NYTimes that he had read AI-2027.
- https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/21/opinion/jd-vance-pope-trump-immigration.html
- Here is book information: https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/?ref=nsxmay
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 89% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? entschieden?
- Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? soll am 16. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if by a year after the current release date (Sep 16, 2026), JD Vance has mentioned reading (even part of) the new book "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies."