Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.)
TechnikOne-Off1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 65%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert23. Juli 26, 17:49 UTC1. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point between July 25, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM (my local time), I travel to a location that is 500 or more miles away from my primary residence.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Measurement: Distance is measured as a straight-line ("as the crow flies") distance from my primary residence to my furthest point of travel, calculated using Google Maps or an equivalent mapping tool.
- Exclusions: Travel undertaken or completed on or before July 23, 2026, does not count toward this market.
- As of July 23, 2026, I am currently 496 miles away from home, which does not meet the 500-mile threshold and is excluded from the timeline.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 65% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) entschieden?
- Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria