Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 66%
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Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
20. Dez. 25, 09:58 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will the One Piece manga finish by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTurner Prize 2026 Winner
PolymarketWill UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $52,000 in 2026?
ForecastExTSA avg check-ins from Oct 5 to 11, 2026?
KalshiWill UC Berkeley out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
ForecastExWill UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
I failed to get to 30 in 2025 (https://manifold.markets/LuisPedroCoelho/will-i-publish-30-substacks-in-2025), but will give it a go in 2026.
- I will bet 15,000 mana at 75% YES as soon I get the liquidity (in 2025, I bet 5,000 and will lose that).
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if I publish at least 30 unique Substack posts during the calendar year 2026 (January 1, 2026 - December 31, 2026).
- A post counts if it is published on my personal Substack (https://luispedro.substack.com/), but not on any other venue.
- The market will resolve NO if: