Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 85.4%
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5
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet26. Mai 22, 16:15 UTC1. Jan. 28, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Ontario Liberal Party leadership election winner?
KalshiWill Labour or Reform have the second leadership election between them, after 12th April 2026?
Manifold MarketsOntario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegeln
Background info: I requested to join the Labour party on May 9th, no response yet.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 621.591,2 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 488.821,4 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 85% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election? entschieden?
- Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will I be eligible to vote in the next Labour leadership election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Background info: I requested to join the Labour party on May 9th, no response yet.