Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 92.1%
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Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet30. März 25, 10:39 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Magnus Carlsen play a classical game against Hans Niemann before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
Manifold MarketsNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiTitled Tuesday Winner: Sep 8
KalshiRegeln
Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/tempo/will-hans-niemann-be-a-top-10-chess?play=true)If the linked question resolves YES at any time before the end of market close, this market resolves YES.
- If the market closes and the conditions for the linked question are not fulfilled, resolves NO.
- Since this is a very objective market, I will bet on it.
- Update 2025-06-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): * The December 2026 FIDE rating list will be the definitive source for resolution, even if it is published after the market closes (e.g., in January 2027).
- If it is clear Hans will not be in the top 10 by the end of 2026, the market may resolve NO immediately at its close time.
Offene Märkte
ChessPOLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Romania?
- Alexandru Nazare-25.6pt22%
- Sorin Grindeanu+1.2pt20%
- Eugen Tomac-2.4pt8%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 19.157,2 €
KALSHIPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+4.0pt44.9%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt23.7%
- Naftali Bennett+1.0pt6.8%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
- Yes-11.0pt54.5%
- No+11.0pt45.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14.841,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5304,3 €
KALSHITitled Tuesday Winner: Sep 8
- Hans Niemann+63.0pt69%
- Alireza Firouzja+18.0pt19%
- Jan-Krzysztof Duda+5.0pt13%
+66 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITitled Tuesday Top 8: Sep 8
- Ian Nepomniachtchi+63.0pt69%
- Hikaru Nakamura+5.0pt50%
- Aleksei Sarana35%
+66 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.255,7 €
KALSHITitled Tuesday Top 5: Sep 8
- Hikaru Nakamura+13.0pt34%
- Aleksei Sarana+7.0pt31%
- Jan-Krzysztof Duda-1.0pt26%
+66 weitere Ergebnisse
- Titled Tuesday Top 3: Sep 8
- FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner
- Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
- Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
- Titled Tuesday Top 5: September 8
- Titled Tuesday Winner: September 8
- Titled Tuesday Top 3: September 8
- Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
- 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Women's Tournament Winner
- Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
- FIDE Standard Top Women Chess Players: Top 10 Rated in December 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? entschieden?
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Derivative of this question, using the same criteria (except for the date):