Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 78.9%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet11. Jan. 26, 04:34 UTC7. Nov. 26, 04:34 UTC
Trends
Regeln
resolves based on the first speaker voted in after everyone has been seated from the 2026 midterms held on tuesday 3 november 2026. does not resolve based on speaker pro tempore or any temporary speakers.
- resolves yes if hakeem jeffries is speaker.
- resolves the named outcome, if the speaker is a democrat, but not hakeem jeffries.
- resolves the named outcome, if the speaker is not a democrat. eg. independent, republican, greens etc.
Offene Märkte
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 79% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms? entschieden?
- Will hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms? soll am 7. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will hakeem jeffries be house speaker after the 2026 mid terms? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: resolves based on the first speaker voted in after everyone has been seated from the 2026 midterms held on tuesday 3 november 2026. does not resolve based on speaker pro tempore or any temporary speakers.