Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election?
9.9 Pkt. (24h)Politik1MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseGreens poll at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls? 39.7%+9.9ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-9.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
29. Jan. 26, 01:54 UTC7. Nov. 26, 01:53 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsWill National recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketRegeln
resolves yes if the party polls at 15.00% or more 3 or more polls.
- (after market creation)
- all 3 appearances cant be the same company though.
- Must be at least 2 different polling companies reporting it.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_New_Zealand_general_election#Table_of_polls
- Polls accepted:
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Greens poll at 15.00% or more in 3 or more polls? mit 40% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election? entschieden?
- Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election? soll am 7. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Greens, ACT or NZ First poll at 15.00% or more for the 2026 NZ Election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: resolves yes if the party polls at 15.00% or more 3 or more polls.