Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 94.2%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet9. Jan. 23, 22:46 UTC1. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsDaytime Emmy Awards: Outstanding Entertainment News Series
KalshiWill Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?
PolymarketJimmy Kimmel: Fired in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Fox News, a popular news organization.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
Offene Märkte
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,5 Mio. €
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,6 Mio. €
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 94% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? entschieden?
- Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Fox News create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Fox News, a popular news organization.