Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85.2%
Prognostiker
38
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet14. Okt. 22, 16:08 UTC31. Dez. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Oct 14, 5:08pm: Must be obviously him (no fake accounts pls). ie he reposts on his twitter or something
Offene Märkte
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.179,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.731,4 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Next James Bond actor?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030? entschieden?
- Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Elon Musk create a market on Manifold before the end of 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Oct 14, 5:08pm: Must be obviously him (no fake accounts pls). ie he reposts on his twitter or something