Will either the 2024 or 2028 US presidential election result in an Electoral College tie?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 95.6%
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet2. Apr. 23, 16:51 UTC1. Dez. 28, 12:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be an electoral college majority in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsOpen Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance refuse to certify any electoral college votes in the 2028 election?
Manifold Markets2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
KalshiWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves to YES if either the 2024 presidential election or the 2028 presidential election in the United States (or both) results in a tie in the Electoral College between two candidates (which would currently be 269–269, though the number of votes needed would change if states joined or left the union).
- A tie with multiple candidates winning electoral votes does not count (e.g. 200–200–138).
- This excludes faithless electors.
- If there is a dispute as to the result of an election I will follow reliable sources.
- If the Electoral College is abolished before the 2028 election this will resolve to N/A.