KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Democratic by 91 to 130 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Democratic by 91 to 130 12.5%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Democratic by 91 to 130 12.5%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Open Interest
14.592,7 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Democratic by 91 to 130Spread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
15. Mai 26, 14:00 UTC8. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 14s (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Democratic by 91 to 130
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Open Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nebraska change it’s electoral college to winner take all before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:United States Congress
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Democratic by 91 to 130
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 61 to 90
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 31 to 60
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 61 to 90
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 91 to 130
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 131 to 210
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 1 to 10
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 11 to 30
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Democratic by 211 or more
- If the Democratic candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 11 to 30
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 11-30 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 31 to 60
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 31-60 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 211 or more
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 1 to 10
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 1-10 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Republican by 131 to 210
- If the Republican candidate wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 131-210 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
