Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.6%
Prognostiker
96
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert27. Dez. 22, 16:01 UTC1. Jan. 30, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence.
- It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing.
- House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison.
- However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
- Resolves NO if the above hasn't happened before 1 Jan 2030, 0000hrs UTC.
