Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 72.7%
Prognostiker
84
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet31. Dez. 23, 22:36 UTC2. Jan. 30, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump outlive any of his children?
Manifold MarketsWho will outlive: Joe Biden or Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegeln
It resolves to N/A if both are alive on the closing date or if both die within 24 hours of each other.
- If one of them is missing or otherwise presumed dead for more then 6 months, we assume they died at the date of their disappearance (until then they are presumed alive).
