Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 93.3%
Prognostiker
23
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet2. Aug. 23, 03:57 UTC1. Jan. 35, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Donald Trump die?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
As opposed to being under secret service protection.
- This likely would mean he was convicted and is under house arrest, but doesn't have total freedom of movement.
Offene Märkte
US Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 592.485,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 602,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 220.373,6 €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 214.593,4 €
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? entschieden?
- Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? soll am 1. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As opposed to being under secret service protection.