Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 96.8%
Prognostiker
79
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet21. Aug. 22, 10:24 UTC31. Jan. 29, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Democrat inaugurated as US president in January 2029?
Manifold MarketsMemorial Circle Triumphal Arch (Arc de Trump) Inaugurated by Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Chuck Grassley run for reelection in 2028 to a ninth term as US Senator from Iowa?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketTom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to YES if Donald J. Trump is sworn in to a third term as President Of The United States before February 1 2029.
- Sep 14, 9:26pm: Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a third term as the US President? → Will Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
- Update 2025-07-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Per the creator, the following conditions apply:
- Any sequence of events that leads to Donald Trump being officially sworn in as president for a third 4-year term will satisfy the market.
- Temporary delegation of presidential powers (e.g., due to illness or incapacitation) does not count.
