Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.9%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert17. Juli 26, 15:08 UTC4. Juli 85, 05:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be another assassination of a US politician before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Manifold MarketsWill somebody perform an assassination attempt on Mark Zuckerberg before 2028?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve YES if David Baszucki's cause of death is assassination.
- If he dies from any other cause of death (such as suicide, natural causes, etc.), then it will resolve NO.
- This market will close on July 4, 2085, the day David Baszucki beats the world record for the oldest age of living circa 2026.
- FYI, David will turn 123 years old on January 20, 2086.
- If I were to somehow live past 2086 I will be eighty.
- Eighty? Hmm...
Offene Märkte
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 347.566,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.350,6 €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6819,5 €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 498.593 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6136,1 €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will David Baszucki die of assassination??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 99% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will David Baszucki die of assassination? entschieden?
- Will David Baszucki die of assassination? soll am 4. Juli 2085 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will David Baszucki die of assassination? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve YES if David Baszucki's cause of death is assassination.