Will Colossal Biosciences de-extinct a species by the end of 2028? (READ DESCRIPTION)
Wirtschaft & UnternehmenOne-OffWissenschaft2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.5%
Prognostiker
58
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet16. Jan. 25, 03:05 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Colossal Biosciences: which happens first?
Manifold MarketsWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsWill evidence come to light by 2028 that microplastics have meaningfully lowered testosterone levels? (READ DESCRIPTION)
Manifold MarketsIf Colossal Biosciences announces the de-extinction of the woolly mammoth, what will be true about the creatures?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiWill McDonald's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Wikipedia: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colossal_Biosciences
- News Coverage: https://techcrunch.com/2025/01/15/colossal-biosciences-raises-200m-at-10-2b-valuation-to-bring-back-woolly-mammoths/?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEXrGf7oN5GWuZbQhTDTVA-x2OpHvO0w9xWfPTYXQr5T0MiCtBcRjM5iCEppHe5AfMo_KGqUC8EJsqfY3F0SLG64N3ljM9vYPVpAzWxtwxxn4ekm4ERkMGPR-BSyaKzVg7DWO7uEO3ac0FaipEKUjGv5XP_pQs_xCq_vXvKGU3Qv
- This resolves YES if the Wooly Mammoth, Tasmanian Tiger, Dodo Bird, or any other extinct species has been de-extincted by the end of 2028 by Colossal Biosciences (or a company or organization that purchases them, contracts with them, or is associated with them meaningfully).
- By “de-extincted” this would probably look like the birth of a mammoth calf or dodo chick, for example.
- If they find another way of bringing back a specimen to life that’s okay too, although I can’t really imagine how that would work.
- Should be fairly clear-cut of a resolution but I will still not bet in this market so I can remain unbiased.
